Entire-Vignette
0x21a3b59a4ce433171af26be29d5b5242bad09e97
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$-196.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1140 shares @ 88.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.1K
$89.98
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
1205 shares @ 80.7¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$981.95
$9.92
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?
1105 shares @ 34.2¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$507.75
$130.08
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
550 shares @ 36.8¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$434.77
$232.54
- YES
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw?
1101 shares @ 37.4¢·now 36.6¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$402.89
$-9.05
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
685 shares @ 48.5¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$380.18
$47.95
- YES
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
685 shares @ 47.2¢·now 45.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$308.59
$-14.46
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08?
335 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$276.38
$5.02
- YES
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?
1105 shares @ 25.7¢·now 19.7¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$217.13
$-66.66
- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
275 shares @ 72.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$203.50
$5.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?$0.03Jun 6, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?$0.04Jun 6, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?$0.07Jun 6, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$0.22Jun 6, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?$0.18Jun 6, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?$1.33Jun 6, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?$0.57Jun 6, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?$2.54Jun 6, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?$0.36Jun 6, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?$0.51Jun 6, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in June?$0.10Jun 6, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in June?$0.16Jun 6, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?$1.14Jun 6, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?$1.35Jun 6, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in June?$1.36Jun 6, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?$0.01Jun 6, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?$0.06Jun 6, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?$0.02Jun 6, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$4.90Jun 6, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?$0.02Jun 6, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 09:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".