Naughty-Interpretation
0x22f27959816eedf20f5b965797dafa09a4ca90d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$584.37
Total PnL
$72.42
Realised
$91.95
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
278 shares @ 62.7¢·now 64.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$180.28
$5.98
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 63.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$100.45
$30.52
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
267 shares @ 62.1¢·now 35.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.85
$-71.96
- YES
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
624 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$71.76
$3.12
- NO
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
57 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.35
$6.90
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
49 shares @ 75.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.30
$9.55
- NO
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 25.9¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.88
$20.56
- NO
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.67
$0.33
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
30 shares @ 77.3¢·now 8.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.65
$-20.54
- YES
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 3.2¢·now 11.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$0.61
Recent activity
- REDEEMGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$0.97Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-14?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 19, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$19.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in March?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Ego Death At A Bachelorette Party - Hayley Williams" win Best Alternative Music Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS bank failure by February 28?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMUp Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on March 28, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 15, 3AM ET$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dana White attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.