Questionable-Homogenate
0x2b131cfccc094e5364f68bd2652ad0b534979f6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$162.06
Total PnL
$-84.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
68 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$68.25
$25.25
- YES
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
34 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$34.32
$21.62
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
27 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$27.27
$18.27
- NO
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
12 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.66
$3.36
- NO
Epstein client list released by June 30?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.85
$1.15
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.09
$0.79
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
4 shares @ 43.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.93
$2.23
- NO
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.81
$1.81
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 13.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.30
$0.80
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
6 shares @ 25.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.54
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$6.33Jun 1, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$43.64Jun 1, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$9.24Jun 1, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$13.10Jun 1, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.82Jun 1, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$20.15Jun 1, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$29.23Jun 1, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$42.22Jun 1, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?$88.52Jun 1, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$48.61May 7, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?$55.05May 7, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?$15.68May 7, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$19.00May 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$23.78May 7, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?$8.33May 7, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$8.75May 7, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$42.95May 7, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 12, 2026?$45.59May 7, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?$79.67May 7, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on April 12, 2026?$33.00Apr 6, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $25.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 07:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 15:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.