Circular-Thongs
0x2b9a504b7dc2715e734038bf0c4a434417dcf6e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-92.98
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 17?
205 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$205.01
$0.32
- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 22?
205 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$204.66
$-0.09
- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 21?
205 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$204.37
$-0.42
- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?
206 shares @ 99.5¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$201.35
$-3.39
- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?
205 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$198.70
$1.85
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
337 shares @ 19.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$122.42
$58.34
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
333 shares @ 23.2¢·now 36.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$121.66
$44.36
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
74 shares @ 82.3¢·now 88.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$65.26
$4.67
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
78 shares @ 64.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$62.79
$12.87
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
300 shares @ 21.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$34.05
$-29.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$20.00May 17, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$9.15May 17, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$10.85May 17, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$18.71May 17, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$20.00May 17, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?$34.00May 17, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?$4.09May 17, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 16?$205.00May 17, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 17, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$19.53May 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$17.37May 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$17.09May 16, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$16.42May 16, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$19.53May 16, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$16.37May 16, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?$0.00May 16, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$0.00May 16, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.00May 16, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$0.00May 16, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 15:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $57.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 18:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".