Rapid-Update
0x2c8eaf9c5be7feebfaead865f056cca450a8c458
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$90.95
Total PnL
$-99.78
Realised
$-3.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
62 shares @ 56.8¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$34.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
61 shares @ 41.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$25.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
180 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.27
$-0.09
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.26
$-0.13
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 8.7¢·now 10.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.08
$0.72
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 8.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.13
$-0.07
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.68
$-0.07
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.05
$0.03
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
92 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.97
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-05-25?$5.49May 25, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score$35.45May 25, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$25.44May 25, 11:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.00May 21, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.05May 21, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04May 21, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.04May 21, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.80May 21, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05May 21, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.53May 21, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.30May 21, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.47May 21, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.32May 21, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.63May 21, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.00May 20, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.04May 20, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".