Trifling-Toll
0x3828f6134aabfa08f9ce6ab6bf1d48c33e718f92
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
6645 shares @ 16.4¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$631.24
$-457.32
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
214 shares @ 83.5¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$133.97
$-45.11
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
252 shares @ 38.8¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.71
$18.16
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
114 shares @ 43.9¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$63.18
$13.18
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
47 shares @ 76.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$36.65
$0.94
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
61 shares @ 40.8¢·now 31.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.37
$-5.63
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 80.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.71
$1.71
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$13.21
$-6.79
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
388 shares @ 16.8¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.40
$-52.79
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$12.14
$-7.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$24.42May 12, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$36.05May 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$13.00May 11, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$0.00May 11, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$48.19May 11, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$48.00Apr 30, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$20.15Apr 30, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$10.00Apr 30, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$100.00Apr 30, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 30, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$10.00Apr 27, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$4.17Apr 27, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$171.90Apr 27, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?$1.00Apr 26, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$2.66Apr 25, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$25.00Apr 23, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$51.66Apr 23, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$81.62Apr 22, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$81.62Apr 22, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$28.87Apr 22, 17:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $59.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 03:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 16:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".