Forked-Footnote
0x3fe4eafcb587e68205fc7ba8e78ba6d6eb7d3011
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$71.73
Total PnL
$-12.11
Realised
$-3.66
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
30 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$29.99
$2.10
- NO
Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
23 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.92
$-0.01
- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
35 shares @ 50.0¢·now 31.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.88
$-6.62
- NO
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
6 shares @ 76.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.92
$0.36
- YES
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.55
$-2.25
- NO
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 10.9¢·now 9.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.46
$-0.08
- NO
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$1.04Apr 26, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$2.12Apr 24, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$1.70Apr 22, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$5.30Apr 22, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$8.59Apr 17, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$8.19Apr 10, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$2.94Apr 10, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$6.24Apr 10, 14:02 UTC
- MERGEIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$12.00Apr 1, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$22.93Mar 28, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$13.68Mar 26, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$3.00Mar 26, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$4.80Mar 26, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$4.50Mar 24, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$9.88Mar 24, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$24.59Mar 16, 14:48 UTC
- SPLITWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$50.00Mar 16, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?$27.89Feb 2, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$2.88Jan 21, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$2.88Jan 21, 04:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".