0x413ae26e5d24bccb9f38b1620a1c037d38120008
0x413ae26e5d24bccb9f38b1620a1c037d38120008
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
128
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$-4.5K
Win rate
24%
112 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 128- NO
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
702 shares @ 42.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$702.28
$405.67
- YES
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
483 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$482.50
$405.33
- GRIZZLIES
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
354 shares @ 5.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$353.74
$334.63
- YES
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
187 shares @ 28.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$186.62
$133.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?
141 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$141.33
$97.52
- NO
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
120 shares @ 35.3¢·now 90.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$109.18
$66.78
- NO
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?
27 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$26.58
$21.53
- NO
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
12 shares @ 32.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$12.46
$8.41
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?
11 shares @ 34.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$11.23
$7.31
- GRIZZLIES
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$9.08
$8.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$51.38Mar 25, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$10.00Mar 24, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$0.01Mar 23, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$240.43Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$117.69Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$95.70Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$109.08Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before GTA VI?$66.74Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$96.96Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$76.23Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$102.90Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$113.56Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$135.52Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$105.57Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$109.53Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$111.69Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$69.77Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$89.75Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$24.80Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$58.64Mar 22, 10:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $104.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 10:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 08:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 112 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.