New-Headlight
0x414b394fbf7a06d3efc58934bd1602ff08c80d3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$14.4K
Total PnL
$-191.5K
Realised
$25.01
Win rate
80%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
14000 shares @ 70.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.5K
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3000 shares @ 51.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.2K
$-285.00
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
1350 shares @ 63.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$324.25
- YES
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
1154 shares @ 84.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.2K
$178.54
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1400 shares @ 11.9¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$861.19
$693.86
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
12500 shares @ 4.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$631.25
$58.77
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
800 shares @ 79.7¢·now 71.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$573.98
$-63.60
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3000 shares @ 34.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$524.95
$-499.81
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10000 shares @ 2.2¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$305.00
$83.50
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 59.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$165.00
$-425.54
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$12.23Jun 4, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?$35.94Jun 3, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?$14.06Jun 3, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races?$145.61Jun 3, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$81.00Jun 3, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$24.79Jun 3, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$0.00Jun 3, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$0.00Jun 3, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$0.00Jun 3, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.00Jun 3, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$0.00Jun 3, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$20.18Jun 3, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$85.51Jun 3, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$855.10Jun 3, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$11.00Jun 3, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$217.12Jun 3, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$10.87Jun 3, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$65.34Jun 3, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $395.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".