Flickering-Spree
0x4a1f58fa51ac0e43e0b11a8f38629a4054e771c5
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$67.46
Total PnL
$-16.54
Realised
$-3.90
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 9?
33 shares @ 19.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$11.83
$5.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 9?
25 shares @ 20.2¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$7.07
$2.07
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
24 shares @ 26.8¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.59
$0.29
- NO
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
12 shares @ 40.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.21
$0.31
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
36 shares @ 14.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.90
$-0.29
- NO
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$-0.45
- NO
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
9 shares @ 49.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$4.09
$-0.36
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$3.74
$-1.16
- YES
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
16 shares @ 28.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.60
$-0.78
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?$1.2725m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$5.0335m ago
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?$2.302h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 9?$5.205h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 8?$6.936h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 8?$0.648h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on May 9?$3.7810h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 8?$0.0211h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 8?$2.7111h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 8?$1.9712h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 10?$3.1914h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?$1.1114h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 8?$0.0614h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 8?$6.0514h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 9?$2.5215h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 9?$6.5916h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 8?$0.0616h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 8?$5.9316h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 8?$1.2917h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 8?$9.5618h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 23h ago
- Last active
- 25m ago
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
