Grand-Hovel
0x529531ba6dacf1d9a7465d8d24c2ed5b1520571c
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-207.18
Realised
$2.95
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1866 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.33
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
1180 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-54.78
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 6?
1008 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9.70Jun 3, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5$12.20May 24, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5$10.05May 23, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$0.00May 21, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5$12.20May 21, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$5.10May 20, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5$10.05May 20, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$191.08May 1, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$0.00May 1, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$9.82Apr 30, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$31.80Apr 30, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$1.07Apr 30, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$7.47Apr 30, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$10.45Apr 29, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$9.60Apr 29, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$40.04Apr 29, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$0.93Apr 29, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$19.25Apr 29, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$1.02Apr 29, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1.48Apr 28, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $15.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 14:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.