Torn-Duck
0x5617edbfda2d0bbd822b7e1770cd8a1c9d538c67
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-61.11
Win rate
25%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
3125 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-183.76
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
2921 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-68.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?
2228 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-29.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17?
1870 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17?
1740 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-22.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 26°C or below on April 25?
1264 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-41.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 19?
1196 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?
1111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?
742 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-58.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 20?
709 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 4?$0.26May 4, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$0.81May 2, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?$1.50May 2, 20:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.59May 2, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$1.83May 1, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$8.69May 1, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$4.82May 1, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$13.45May 1, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$24.56May 1, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$27.05May 1, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$10.82May 1, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$33.02May 1, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$47.71May 1, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$118.24May 1, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$124.37May 1, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$126.45May 1, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$145.08May 1, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$314.27May 1, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMKash Patel out by April 30?$242.27May 1, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$53.27May 1, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $34.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 01:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.