0x5cf619b2e1f4475dd0f4696f6f96c68da51d1021
0x5cf619b2e1f4475dd0f4696f6f96c68da51d1021
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$1.78
Total PnL
$-45.62
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- UP
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 20?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- NO
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
462 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.46
- YES
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 26?
160 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
140 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 27, 2026?
99 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$1.00Apr 27, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Apr 27, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$1.03Apr 27, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$0.92Apr 27, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$0.83Apr 27, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.26Apr 27, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$0.09Apr 27, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.50Apr 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.54Apr 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.26Apr 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.90Apr 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.31Apr 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1.05Apr 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?$1.16Apr 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.13Apr 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.01Apr 27, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.17Apr 27, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-21?$1.00Apr 22, 02:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 06:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 22:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.