Alarmed-Hydrocarbon
0x6ae392bdfd142131ece6ae51f5c3441e8e783197
Quality score
83/100
Open positions
20
Open notional
$75.67
Total PnL
$1.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$19.67
$-0.33
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
23 shares @ 35.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.49
$1.49
- YES
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 95.5¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.06
$0.06
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
4 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Trump say "N Word" in April?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0020h ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- YIELD$0.009d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$4.009d ago
- REDEEMWill Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?$2.569d ago
- YIELD$0.0010d ago
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.1010d ago
- YIELD$0.0011d ago
- YIELD$0.0012d ago
- REDEEMWill Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?$1.0112d ago
- YIELD$0.0013d ago
- YIELD$0.0014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?$2.0014d ago
- YIELD$0.0015d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $4.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 27d ago
- Last active
- 20h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.