Ill-Informed-Plagiarism
0x6c2a2c4f9a6c0590aaf8e173176177fa9eb42cdb
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$165.77
Total PnL
$-68.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$98.96
$-1.04
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
44 shares @ 31.6¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.55
$5.49
- YES
X banned in any European country by December 31?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.50
$9.50
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.30
$2.40
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
14 shares @ 69.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.25
$-1.75
- YES
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?
21 shares @ 47.6¢·now 37.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.88
$-2.12
- YES
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.33
$-7.67
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
220 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$101.56Jun 13, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$14.08Jun 8, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$24.71Jun 4, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Oilers$4.94Apr 29, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.50Apr 27, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3.60Apr 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$2.90Apr 11, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 8, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$7.40Apr 8, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$1.20Apr 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$0.94Apr 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$1.33Apr 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$1.33Apr 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$5.20Apr 5, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$5.40Apr 5, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$5.40Apr 5, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$10.20Apr 5, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$3.85Apr 5, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$6.90Apr 5, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.10Apr 4, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $8.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.