Offensive-Ratio
0x76e298605b020f8444312065d5186e58ab335980
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$23.79
Total PnL
$23.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- U 90.5
Will the Atlanta Braves win more than 90.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
40 shares @ 0.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$12.36
$12.36
- O 99.5
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
12 shares @ 0.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$8.16
$8.16
- U 80.5
Will the Minnesota Twins win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
2 shares @ 0.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$1.43
$1.43
- U 74.5
Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$1.19
$1.19
- U 78.5
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$0.35
$0.35
- O 89.5
Will the New York Mets win more than 89.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
20 shares @ 0.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$0.30
$0.30
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
120 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
40 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
20 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
20 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Astros win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?$9.40Apr 23, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the St. Louis Cardinals win more than 75.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?$38.00Apr 23, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kansas City Royals win more than 81.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?$69.50Apr 23, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.20Apr 23, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.50Apr 23, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$8.20Apr 23, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?$8.34Apr 23, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago White Sox win more than 67.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?$6.79Apr 23, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$10.40Apr 23, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$20.97Apr 23, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$14.28Apr 23, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Arizona Diamondbacks win more than 81.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?$9.41Apr 23, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Athletics win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?$7.22Apr 23, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$25.20Apr 23, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$10.00Apr 23, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$11.18Apr 23, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$16.80Apr 23, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.70Apr 23, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$18.30Apr 23, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?$21.35Apr 23, 22:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $43.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 22:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.