Thin-Papaya
0x798277aeb8a1f2070844919b5e40b8082d5c86c4
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$806.15
Total PnL
$-214.57
Realised
$3.65
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
240 shares @ 61.2¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$118.80
$-28.00
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
150 shares @ 78.5¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$87.00
$-30.75
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
80 shares @ 46.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$74.00
$36.80
- YES
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
100 shares @ 47.7¢·now 61.4¢·exp May 30, 2026$61.35
$13.61
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
116 shares @ 39.6¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$52.91
$6.88
- NO
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
80 shares @ 60.5¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$48.81
$0.40
- YES
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
90 shares @ 25.7¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$39.69
$16.54
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 6.4¢·now 7.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$36.50
$4.50
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
400 shares @ 27.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$36.00
$-74.99
- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
1343 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$26.19
$-2.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$8.825h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$18.045h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$10.425h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$10.465h ago
- YIELD$0.0023h ago
- TRADESELLWill Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?$157.482d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- REWARD$0.122d ago
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$22.762d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?$10.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.152d ago
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.002d ago
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.332d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?$13.692d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?$10.163d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.903d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?$1.703d ago
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$11.743d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $16.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.