OtherExpires Jan 1, 2027

Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Probability

45¢

+1.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$5.00

Liquidity

$10.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+14.0pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:09

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors

1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6016h with open resolution ambiguity.
2
Thin liquidity
Only $10.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 6015.8h
LOW
13:10Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6016h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
13:09Price
Probability down -5.5pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability down -6.5pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability down -6.5pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability down -9.5pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -5.0pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability down -9.0pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability down -6.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 4.5pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 4.5pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 6.0pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -3.0pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability down -3.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.0pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 11.0pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 12.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 11.5pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 11.5pp
to 42¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 12.0pp
to 43¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 16.5pp
to 47¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 23.0pp
to 54¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 23.0pp
to 54¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 23.0pp
to 54¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 22.5pp
to 54¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 21.5pp
to 53¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventInk FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk

End date: Jan 1, 2027
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket