Whole-Battalion
0x7ac9849cf9d7f369fc082d5d648f80ef5aff576c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$12.07
Total PnL
$-544.86
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.85
$0.04
- YES
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.97
$1.97
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5 shares @ 40.3¢·now 37.4¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.95
$-0.15
- NO
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.13
$-0.02
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
140 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.12
$-11.51
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
1359 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.59
- NO
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
780 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.80
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
352 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?$5.68Jul 21, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$0.93Jul 21, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$1.01Jul 21, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?$3.84Jul 21, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?$0.94Jul 21, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$30.39Jul 21, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GameStop acquire eBay?$5.51Jul 21, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$1.34Jul 21, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?$3.35Jul 21, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?$2.86Jul 21, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$1.08Jul 21, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$5.97Jul 21, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$2.20Jul 21, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?$3.95Jul 21, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$2.56Jul 21, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?$51.47Jul 21, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$4.13Jul 21, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$0.98Jul 21, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$1.56Jul 21, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$1.17Jul 21, 00:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 20:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.