Plain-Patty
0x7ce2cb87c170e5dc47f158a8533d803eb568af1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$31.93
Total PnL
$-8.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
7 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$6.56
$2.56
- YES
Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$6.06
$4.06
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.33
$1.33
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.16
$0.16
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.83
$0.83
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.17
$0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Jan 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 14, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Jan 14, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?$1.00Jan 14, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00Jan 14, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Jan 14, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 14, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Jan 14, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 14, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?$1.00Dec 15, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?$1.00Dec 15, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ashley Kalus win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Dec 15, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$1.00Dec 15, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?$1.00Dec 15, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.00Dec 15, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$1.00Dec 15, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Dec 15, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$1.00Dec 15, 10:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".