Adolescent-Fatigues
0x7eccf8c5b327c7762f9d39c08c5aab3eed2a346d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$134.17
Total PnL
$-451.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
161 shares @ 31.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.29
$-13.71
- YES
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
123 shares @ 40.6¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.71
$-22.29
- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
89 shares @ 56.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.68
$-22.32
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
54 shares @ 55.9¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.90
$-13.10
- YES
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
33 shares @ 60.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.79
$-6.89
- YES
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.78
$-9.22
- YES
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
52 shares @ 57.6¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.03
$-27.97
- FLORIDA GATORS
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?
248 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by March 31?
228 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$30.53Jun 6, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$10.36Jun 6, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$30.51Jun 6, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?$51.19Jun 6, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$50.88Jun 6, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?$51.38Jun 6, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?$33.90May 23, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMTulsi Gabbard out by June 30?$68.18May 23, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$10.00Apr 7, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$10.00Apr 7, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$20.00Apr 7, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?$20.00Apr 7, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHoward Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?$20.00Apr 7, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard out by June 30?$30.00Apr 7, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard out by April 30?$10.00Apr 7, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$142.86Apr 7, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMConnecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$0.00Apr 5, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMConnecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$85.94Apr 5, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$10.00Apr 4, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$20.00Apr 4, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $17.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 02:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.