Incomplete-Grandson
0x802db0b6f7cf75a5879672822b7657e6319d2c24
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$62.07
Total PnL
$-6.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
17 shares @ 76.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$13.96
$0.96
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
9 shares @ 66.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.05
$3.05
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
9 shares @ 57.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$8.69
$3.69
- NO
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.17
$1.17
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
13 shares @ 53.5¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.02
$-0.98
- NO
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.63
$0.21
- YES
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.56
$-0.44
- NO
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.64
$1.64
- NO
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
4 shares @ 70.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.14
$0.14
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?$5.00Apr 19, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $2.22Apr 19, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$3.20Apr 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLTech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?$5.01Apr 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.05Apr 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$5.02Apr 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$5.18Apr 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?$7.78Apr 19, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: April$7.83Apr 19, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$9.40Apr 19, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?$9.59Apr 19, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?$6.58Apr 19, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?$4.42Apr 16, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 16, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 16, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 16, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$1.63Apr 16, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSHEIN IPO before 2027?$0.96Apr 16, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.49Apr 16, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$4.99Apr 16, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 13:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.