Nutty-Clan
0x854c14c2ceba6ac8231c6bd59b00850d5586a964
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$429.46
Total PnL
$-304.65
Realised
$9.75
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
256 shares @ 68.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$157.44
$-16.64
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
80 shares @ 82.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.40
$2.30
- YES
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
40 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$31.00
$0.20
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
40 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.59
$0.20
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 69.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$26.10
$-15.30
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
30 shares @ 76.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$21.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
100 shares @ 59.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.50
$-42.39
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
50 shares @ 61.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.75
$-16.75
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
30 shares @ 83.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$11.85
$-13.05
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
100 shares @ 20.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.50
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYVinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer$22.50May 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYVinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer$7.61May 14, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Real Madrid CF 4 - 1 Real Oviedo?$4.11May 14, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$36.76May 14, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 Real Oviedo?$3.70May 14, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 0 Real Oviedo?$4.52May 14, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$10.26May 13, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$15.00May 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$7.79May 12, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$4.75May 12, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$18.38May 12, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$15.93May 12, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$19.80May 11, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$21.59May 11, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$19.70May 11, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$5.09May 8, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$9.00May 8, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$3.30May 8, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$39.08May 7, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Arsenal FC 4 - 3 Club Atlético de Madrid?$2.06May 5, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 09:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".