Arid-Maize
0x8a695af9c71daae5842ba82347e89a82b33b169b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$17.07
Total PnL
$-3.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.13
$1.13
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.04
$1.04
- ROCKETS
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.83
$0.84
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.81
$0.81
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.70
$0.70
- HAWKS
Hawks vs. Magic
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.59
$0.61
- YES
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Gina Hinojosa win the 2026 Texas Governor Democratic primary election?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (January 18)
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.88
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Magic$1.00Mar 31, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Clippers (-5.5)$1.00Mar 31, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-1.5)$1.00Mar 31, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Jan 14, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Jan 14, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$1.00Jan 14, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Jan 14, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$1.00Jan 14, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Maduro" this week? (January 18)$1.00Jan 14, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Dec 16, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$1.00Dec 16, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Hinojosa win the 2026 Texas Governor Democratic primary election?$1.00Dec 16, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson say "Border" or "Immigration" 5+ times at AmericaFest events on December 18?$1.00Dec 16, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$1.00Dec 16, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?$1.00Dec 16, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00Dec 16, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4600 in August?$2.04Dec 16, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?$2.22Dec 16, 10:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 05:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 11:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".