0x8bf225f47927680b81fcc2856915e3ce3fa40d85
0x8bf225f47927680b81fcc2856915e3ce3fa40d85
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$197.91
Total PnL
$-242.85
Realised
$29.87
Win rate
100%
73 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
39 shares @ 48.1¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.10
$0.55
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$3.58
$0.58
- NO
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
12 shares @ 25.2¢·now 27.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$3.22
$0.23
- YES
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
8 shares @ 38.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 31.4¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.05
$-0.14
- YES
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$2.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?
8 shares @ 38.9¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.93
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$0.48Jun 13, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$2.52Jun 13, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?$1.72Jun 13, 07:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?$0.66Jun 12, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?$0.80Jun 12, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?$3.00Jun 12, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$2.99Jun 12, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?$3.00Jun 12, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.40Jun 12, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?$0.60Jun 12, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?$1.18Jun 12, 01:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?$2.45Jun 11, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?$0.52Jun 11, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$1.02Jun 11, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$2.08Jun 11, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.00Jun 11, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$2.00Jun 11, 17:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 10:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 73 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.