Naughty-Smelting
0x8f339acc9082566d754300752db9eea280a79bb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$264.37
Total PnL
$-2.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
41 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$40.55
$10.55
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
40 shares @ 85.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$32.94
$-1.06
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
37 shares @ 82.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.46
$-0.54
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.50
$2.50
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
24 shares @ 82.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.10
$1.10
- YES
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23 shares @ 88.4¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$19.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$19.26
$-0.74
- YES
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
21 shares @ 95.5¢·now 89.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$18.75
$-1.21
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
18 shares @ 73.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.11
$-0.80
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.72
$0.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$13.05May 14, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.07May 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCritical Discord Incident by May 31?$10.07May 12, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?$20.28May 12, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$20.05May 12, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$10.12May 11, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$20.14May 11, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$20.08May 11, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$10.13May 11, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$10.13May 11, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$0.00May 11, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$26.79May 11, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$79.74May 11, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$46.88May 11, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$4.02May 11, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$10.08May 11, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.08May 10, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$30.32May 10, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$20.00May 8, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$0.03May 8, 05:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $18.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 03:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".