Few-Jumbo
0x90ec32ca6efae3f3927dc1581f270cb10b4c62aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$956.79
Total PnL
$-952.57
Realised
$28.95
Win rate
46%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- PORTSMOUTH FC
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
467 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$467.00
$79.39
- NO
Will Trump say "Trump National" or "Trump International" in April?
303 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$303.00
$42.42
- SOUTHERN SUPER STARS
Legends Cricket League: Mumbai Spartans vs Southern Super Stars
318 shares @ 71.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$159.00
$-66.78
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
104 shares @ 36.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.28
$-17.16
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
3 shares @ 95.9¢·now 93.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.81
$-0.06
- NO
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.41
$-0.23
- YES
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
1 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.00
$0.68
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 26.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.74
$0.48
- NO
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.64
$-0.19
- YES
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 46.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.46
$-0.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$21.78Jun 16, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump National" or "Trump International" in April?$260.58Apr 23, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?$4.00Apr 13, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMMid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels$256.50Apr 13, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$51.00Apr 11, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-04-18?$49.80Apr 9, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLegends Cricket League: Mumbai Spartans vs Southern Super Stars$225.78Mar 31, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled by December 31?$88.58Mar 31, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled by December 31?$138.29Mar 31, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by December 31?$289.96Mar 31, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$289.08Mar 31, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$289.08Mar 31, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)$387.61Mar 31, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia strike Kyiv on March 31, 2026?$180.10Mar 31, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia strike Kyiv on March 31, 2026?$211.45Mar 31, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?$215.00Mar 31, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026?$7.02Mar 31, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$62.41Mar 31, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia strike Kyiv on March 31, 2026?$437.81Mar 31, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?$215.00Mar 31, 02:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $206.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 09:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 05:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.