Faithful-Purr
0x994ab54dba5c47235d9e8d353789407ce506b5f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$538.39
Total PnL
$-177.31
Realised
$7.32
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5202 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$494.19
$-130.39
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
350 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$13.47
$0.26
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
86 shares @ 10.3¢·now 11.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$9.45
$0.64
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
193 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$-8.59
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.05Jul 29, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $17.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 16:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.