0xa1845009a3b18e3bbf88ffff15b4dbc2b99f0382
0xa1845009a3b18e3bbf88ffff15b4dbc2b99f0382
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$33.32
Total PnL
$-6.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?
4 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$3.58
$1.40
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.33
$0.83
- NO
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.22
$0.74
- NO
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$3.16
$0.66
- NO
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3 shares @ 79.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.16
$0.66
- NO
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3 shares @ 79.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.14
$0.64
- YES
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.07
$0.95
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$3.07
$0.92
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 61.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.54
$0.04
- YES
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.48
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $136 end of April?$2.59May 1, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of April?$2.81May 1, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in April?$3.29May 1, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$3.79May 1, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?$0.00May 1, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?$5.00May 1, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in April?$5.56May 1, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?$0.00May 1, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?$8.59May 1, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?$3.04Apr 29, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$0.00Apr 28, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$1.20Apr 28, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?$2.50Apr 28, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?$2.50Apr 28, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?$2.50Apr 28, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of April?$2.50Apr 27, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $136 end of April?$2.10Apr 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?$1.98Apr 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 1, 2026?$2.50Apr 27, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 24?$3.09Apr 27, 05:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 18:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 20:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.