0xae0893220d96e68bd4fe4428fa96ed2d1650f155
0xae0893220d96e68bd4fe4428fa96ed2d1650f155
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$25.18
Total PnL
$1.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
5 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$5.35
$3.69
- NO
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$4.98
$2.69
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.42
$0.92
- YES
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.29
$0.79
- YES
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.03
$0.97
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 60.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.58
$0.08
- YES
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.52
$0.02
- YES
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
6 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$3.79May 8, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$2.34May 4, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$1.71May 4, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$2.50May 3, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $144 end of April?$5.00May 1, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of April?$0.00May 1, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of April?$0.00May 1, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $144 end of April?$0.00May 1, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of April?$0.00May 1, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of April?$0.00May 1, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $144 end of April?$0.00May 1, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of April?$0.00May 1, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of April?$0.00May 1, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $144 end of April?$0.00May 1, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of April?$0.00May 1, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of April?$0.00May 1, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $144 end of April?$0.00May 1, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of April?$0.00May 1, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of April?$0.00May 1, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $144 end of April?$0.00May 1, 11:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $2.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 01:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 14:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.