Disastrous-Leadership
0xbe28ac07faf475c4988296343cc21671349ed7f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$69.13
Total PnL
$3.35
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
23 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$23.00
$0.38
- NO
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?
19 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.00
$0.34
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
22 shares @ 28.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.77
$4.62
- NO
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
8 shares @ 96.8¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.73
$-0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.10
$-2.60
- YES
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.53
$0.00
- YES
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
1 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?$7.74Jun 14, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?$4.40Jun 8, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.08Jun 6, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?$13.50Jun 4, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$3.19Jun 2, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?$16.71May 21, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.67May 21, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$3.22May 21, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$2.09Apr 27, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$1.12Apr 24, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$1.05Apr 24, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?$5.56Apr 22, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?$1.48Apr 22, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$3.52Apr 15, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?$5.49Apr 15, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?$1.70Apr 15, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$3.85Apr 12, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$1.38Apr 12, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$4.25Apr 9, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$1.95Apr 9, 15:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 05:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.