Elaborate-Walkway
0xd13f557754b667524d76717f0846da51939b16e4
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$175.63
Total PnL
$-16.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
93 shares @ 21.6¢·now 21.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
43 shares @ 34.7¢·now 35.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$15.24
$0.24
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?
74 shares @ 7.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$12.26
$7.06
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
16 shares @ 35.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.49
$5.94
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will there be at least 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
36 shares @ 27.5¢·now 26.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
265 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.87
$-0.13
- NO
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
15 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.66
$-0.15
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
238 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.27
$-2.23
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 67.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.09
$-2.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2.185h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$2.805h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.709h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2.309h ago
- YIELD$0.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$2.0515h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?$5.551d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?$4.201d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$3.141d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$4.191d ago
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$14.371d ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$3.661d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?$6.812d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$1.432d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.772d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9.132d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.202d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$5.552d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?$1.552d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
