Worse-Haven
0xd60de7001c1ae4e7192306a24aa7918db4a519a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-710.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
135 shares @ 22.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$93.61
$63.97
- NO
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
55 shares @ 55.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$45.05
$15.01
- NO
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
376 shares @ 7.9¢·now 11.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.66
$13.92
- NO
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
79 shares @ 38.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$43.60
$13.75
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
444 shares @ 6.7¢·now 8.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.72
$9.99
- NO
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
49 shares @ 61.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.14
$5.37
- NO
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
36 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$33.90
$4.13
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.36
$2.94
- NO
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.55
$1.62
- NO
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.42
$1.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?$9.68Jul 26, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?$16.22Jul 25, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?$2.81Jul 23, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue wave in 2026?$1.26Jul 21, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew COVID variant of concern before 2027?$1.46Jul 20, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$15.98Jul 20, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$30.20Jul 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue wave in 2026?$25.13Jul 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?$1.79Jul 17, 14:53 UTC
- REWARD$1.23Jul 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?$30.26Jul 16, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$30.28Jul 16, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?$28.09Jul 16, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?$7.69Jul 15, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?$29.76Jul 15, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMTrump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?$37.19Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?$0.20Jul 14, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$17.30Jul 13, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$7.64Jul 13, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?$13.39Jul 12, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $15.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 22:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 08:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.