Pointed-Smoking
0xd864bfd303b33e7c500e5a37f6210bd4c82578c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$16.10
Total PnL
$1.23
Realised
$2.17
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$3.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.80
$0.80
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
3 shares @ 35.2¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.4¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 18.3¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$1.00May 18, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02May 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02May 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$0.25May 17, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 16, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.84May 16, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 16, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 15, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.98May 15, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.11May 15, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.39May 15, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.40May 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?$0.33May 12, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$0.46May 12, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?$1.00May 11, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.00May 11, 20:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 14:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".