Flaky-Hare
0xdd71f6000ed80c8a8d9c72d60b206e3010574087
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$145.67
Total PnL
$-6.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
127 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$127.46
$4.46
- NO
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?
18 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.21
$0.91
- YES
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
70 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$123.00Jun 27, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?$17.30Jun 27, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$0.00Jun 27, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?$22.82Jun 27, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$25.26Jun 27, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$29.59Jun 27, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$25.42May 20, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$28.50May 20, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$24.05May 20, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$148.52May 20, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$120.34May 3, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$31.12May 3, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMKash Patel out by April 30?$25.32May 3, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins $33.23May 3, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$40.54May 3, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins $30.00Apr 27, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$27.50Apr 27, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$15.00Apr 27, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$12.00Apr 27, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$10.37Apr 27, 02:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $155.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 14:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 12:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.