Deadly-Weird
0xe0490f4b335d9a266f769c5c2765d1d3ec8ccf67
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$43.17
Total PnL
$-19.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.16
$0.16
- YES
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
117 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$4.61
$-0.39
- NO
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
7 shares @ 74.9¢·now 66.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 66.6¢·now 59.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 41.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
355 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.72
$-1.28
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.85
$-0.15
- NO
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.70
$-2.30
- YES
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYArc FDV above $800M one day after launch?$5.27May 18, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?$7.46May 18, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$20.30May 18, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$4.17May 17, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$10.48May 17, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.30May 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.15May 15, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$0.00May 15, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.27May 15, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.12May 15, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$5.35May 15, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?$5.13May 14, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$5.05May 14, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?$5.09May 12, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$1.04May 12, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.12May 11, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$28.77May 11, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10?$0.38May 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10?$6.12May 10, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$21.17May 10, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $7.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 18:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".