Any-Outcome
0xe0851f0d6f04e132bcf79fe51dee4d79f041bfa1
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$24.23
Total PnL
$-6.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$6.03
$2.93
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
7 shares @ 65.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.96
$0.15
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 9.6¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 91.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Harrison Barnes score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 4, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 4, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.03Jun 4, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$1.01Jun 4, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harrison Barnes score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Jun 4, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$5.04May 22, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02May 22, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in April?$1.09May 22, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?$1.35May 22, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?$1.47May 22, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.61May 22, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2.41May 22, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$6.41May 22, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$1.13May 9, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$0.00Apr 18, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$0.00Apr 18, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2.32Apr 18, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$1.12Apr 18, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3?$1.20Apr 18, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$3.10Apr 14, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 01:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.