Damp-Innocent
0xe3ddd5ab25400b51c8eb9f223e9cdadb12fdcfc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
176
Open notional
$12.76
Total PnL
$-847.31
Realised
$3.76
Win rate
43%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 176- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.00
$2.28
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
35 shares @ 27.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.93
$-7.63
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
9 shares @ 13.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.75
$0.58
- YES
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
34 shares @ 34.9¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$-10.77
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
627 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.94
$-0.31
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
3 shares @ 23.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.92
$0.12
- YES
Will Angus King III win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.78
$-0.72
- YES
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
77 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.58
$-0.50
- YES
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?
15 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.43
$-0.77
- YES
Will Deaglan McEachern win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?
9 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$0.20
$-0.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.24Apr 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.04Apr 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.44Apr 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$1.65Apr 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.74Apr 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$1.80Apr 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.80Apr 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$1.85Apr 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?$1.80Apr 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.24Apr 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.76Apr 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$3.40Apr 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELL1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?$2.33Apr 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.55Apr 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$3.78Apr 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$3.90Apr 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.40Apr 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.47Apr 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by April 30?$4.91Apr 1, 14:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 14:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".