Harmonious-Fairness
0xec230ec1c3f20fd68c5f40244d44671388bbac24
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-550.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
13071 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-51.29
- YES
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
12620 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-37.86
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
4493 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-154.91
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
3661 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-29.21
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
2447 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-52.43
- NO
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?
1670 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?
1281 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?
1039 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-26.71
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
862 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?
600 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?$0.34May 20, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?$9.42May 15, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$9.40May 15, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$15.97May 15, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$15.79May 15, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$9.62May 15, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$9.82May 14, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?$19.61May 11, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?$19.76May 11, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$17.00May 11, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?$9.63May 11, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$24.00May 11, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?$0.00May 11, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$0.00May 11, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?$0.00May 11, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$12.39May 11, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$10.00May 11, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$22.23May 11, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$19.17May 10, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$56.67May 9, 20:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $23.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 01:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.