0xec83984dd53017980f61490cfa01460000c8ecc4
0xec83984dd53017980f61490cfa01460000c8ecc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
185
Open notional
$22.23
Total PnL
$-256.67
Realised
$71.07
Win rate
62%
98 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 185- YES
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?
2 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.11
$0.17
- NO
Will Randers FC win on 2026-02-22?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$1.85
$1.09
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
2 shares @ 71.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.78
$0.16
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 59.7¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.67
$0.66
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
2 shares @ 18.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$1.55
$1.27
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
1 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.42
$1.19
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.36
$0.05
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
1 shares @ 5.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$1.28
$1.22
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 73.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.24
$0.20
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
1 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.20
$0.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$5.11May 27, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill OGC Nice win on 2026-02-22?$7.93May 27, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$8.54May 27, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$9.67May 27, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-22?$12.57May 27, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?$5.00May 27, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?$0.64May 27, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$4.12May 27, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$4.53May 27, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$4.75May 27, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.26May 27, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.54May 27, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$2.26May 27, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$4.51May 27, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$4.64May 27, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$4.95May 27, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$6.04May 27, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$6.37May 27, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$10.47May 27, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$15.63May 9, 04:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 06:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 11:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 98 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.