Thunderous-Platelet
0xf4d9a57c8520e47cb0fdfc623123ef6da8b122e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-201.49
Realised
$0.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1200 shares @ 82.2¢·now 88.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$77.00
- NO
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
800 shares @ 88.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$747.99
$38.00
- NO
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
550 shares @ 77.3¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$461.99
$36.60
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
500 shares @ 75.8¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$424.98
$46.00
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
200 shares @ 60.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$136.00
$16.00
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$91.75
$5.75
- NO
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 67.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.15
$-18.85
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
170 shares @ 80.1¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$58.63
$-77.56
- NO
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$58.35
$7.95
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
540 shares @ 52.8¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.05
$-231.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$86.40Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.23Jun 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$87.17Jun 13, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$62.00Jun 10, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$19.99Jun 2, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$54.00Jun 2, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$17.01Jun 1, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$0.14Jun 1, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00Jun 1, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00Jun 1, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$4.95Jun 1, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$4.95Jun 1, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00Jun 1, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00Jun 1, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00Jun 1, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00Jun 1, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$4.95Jun 1, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$4.95Jun 1, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$4.95Jun 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00Jun 1, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.