0xf68590cda8d58411fd7da6ed18b50a3774761ddc
0xf68590cda8d58411fd7da6ed18b50a3774761ddc
Quality score
78/100
Open positions
22
Open notional
$249.65
Total PnL
$8.93
Realised
$-2.60
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
63 shares @ 66.2¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.74
$8.30
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
41 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$38.69
$2.04
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
27 shares @ 92.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$25.46
$0.33
- NO
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?
18 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.91
$0.40
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 94.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$13.12
$0.58
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.79
$2.14
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 89.9¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.71
$1.06
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.45
$0.80
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
34 shares @ 49.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.38
$-6.59
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
14 shares @ 86.4¢·now 66.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$8.92
$-2.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$3.114h ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$2.821d ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$2.821d ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$2.821d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$2.951d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$4.631d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$9.941d ago
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?$3.051d ago
- REDEEMWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$3.691d ago
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?$10.621d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$10.911d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.082d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.082d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.232d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.082d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.072d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.082d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.082d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.072d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.412d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.