Harsh-General
0xf8d40244b3b68068ff84e2cafbe781e353cb8588
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$32.65
Total PnL
$-9.07
Realised
$-0.41
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 9?
6 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$6.10
$3.60
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.37
$0.37
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 91.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.27
$0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$5.00
$2.70
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.54
$0.24
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$3.33
$1.23
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.04
$0.64
- CTBC FLYING OYSTER
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)
8 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 9?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.15Jul 28, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.34Jul 28, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.10Jul 28, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.68Jul 28, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?$1.46Jul 8, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 9?$2.57Jul 8, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 9?$2.06Jul 8, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?$2.36Jul 8, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.43Jul 8, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$2.12Jul 8, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$15.11Jul 8, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.80Jul 8, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$11.55Jul 8, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$13.40Jul 8, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$11.50Jun 11, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.02Jun 11, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 12?$2.26Jun 11, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$3.04Jun 11, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev$2.94Jun 11, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.17Jun 11, 01:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.