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MARKET PULSE
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
42% 35.8pp
24h volume
$267.0K
Orrery Pulse100% current9-100% 7D range+82.0pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
100%
May 17100%+82.0pp from start
May 10May 11May 12May 13May 14May 15May 16May 17
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch 32 active risks in one mode
High
High
High
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland GuardiansUMA PENDING
High
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will France win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?UMA PENDING
High
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 95/79 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 75 | 55/99 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 17, 2026
Read full brief - Starmer out by May 31, 2026? probability up 35.8pp on $0.3M of 24h volume.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons resolves in 2h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
RISK INCREASED (3)
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