Will Sporting CP win Primeira Liga?
Probability
1¢
1h
-2.9pp
24h
-0.4pp
24h Vol
$32.70
Liquidity
$740.66
Probability (last 7 days)
-18.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $741 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 845.5h
Price movement
-0.4pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.
Biggest hourly move: -18.1pp at 3d ago (to 2¢).
Show top 8 of 18 hourly moves
- 3d ago · -17.9pp → 2¢
- 3d ago · -17.7pp → 3¢
- 3d ago · -17.8pp → 3¢
- 3d ago · -17.9pp → 3¢
- 3d ago · -17.8pp → 3¢
- 3d ago · -17.8pp → 3¢
- 3d ago · -17.9pp → 3¢
- 3d ago · -18.1pp → 2¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Primeira Liga. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Primeira Liga per the rules of Primeira Liga (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.