OtherExpires Mar 5, 2026

CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 4.5

Probability

45¢

1h

+3.0pp

24h

+3.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$21.91

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 3pp over 24h

    Now 45¢; +3.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 88.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 18:26Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW

Price movement

+3.0pp over the last 24h, now 45¢.

Biggest hourly move: +4.5pp at 1d ago (to 47¢).

Show all 6 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 1d ago · +4.5pp → 47¢
  • 2d ago · -3.5pp → 43¢
  • 2d ago · -3.5pp → 43¢
  • 2d ago · -3.5pp → 43¢
  • 2d ago · -3.5pp → 43¢
  • 3d ago · -4.0pp → 43¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza and CSyD Defensa y Justicia, scheduled for March 5 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza and CSyD Defensa y Justicia combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligaprofesional.ar. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Mar 5, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
official statisticsOfficial statistics
ligaprofesional.ar
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (88.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

2 wallets