Set Handicap: Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Kjaer (+1.5)
Probability
39¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-12.5pp
24h Vol
$24.26
Liquidity
$8.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 168.7h
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shapovalov" if Denis Shapovalov wins by 2 or more sets than Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Kjaer." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentOfficial sports result
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).