FMP vs. Ilirija
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-79.0pp
24h Vol
$931.69
Liquidity
$26.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 79pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 165h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 164.5h
- 18:27SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 165h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-79.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: -74.0pp at 18:27 (to 0¢).
Show all 22 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:27 · -74.0pp → 0¢
- 17:00 · -71.0pp → 3¢
- 15:00 · -26.0pp → 49¢
- 10:00 · -3.5pp → 73¢
- 20:00 · +6.0pp → 79¢
- 1d ago · +27.5pp → 78¢
- 1d ago · +24.0pp → 74¢
- 1d ago · +21.0pp → 71¢
- 1d ago · +22.0pp → 73¢
- 1d ago · +24.5pp → 75¢
- 1d ago · +24.5pp → 75¢
- 1d ago · +24.5pp → 75¢
- 1d ago · +24.5pp → 75¢
- 1d ago · +24.5pp → 75¢
- 2d ago · +24.5pp → 76¢
- 2d ago · +21.5pp → 74¢
- 2d ago · +23.0pp → 76¢
- 2d ago · +23.0pp → 76¢
- 2d ago · +23.0pp → 76¢
- 2d ago · +22.5pp → 75¢
- 2d ago · +22.5pp → 75¢
- 2d ago · +22.5pp → 75¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for April 25 at 11:00AM ET: If the FMP win, the market will resolve to "FMP". If the Ilirija win, the market will resolve to "Ilirija". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- based on the final score including any overtime periodsAmbiguous wordingaba-liga.com
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.