UnclassifiedExpires Apr 26, 2026

Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs XI Esport - Map 1 Winner

Probability

51¢

1h

-27.0pp

24h

-12.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.46

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 16:00Apr 26, 2026, 08:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Down 12pp over 24h

    Now 51¢; -27.0pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Wide spread — 97.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 4

    Expiry in 3h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 12:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 3.3h

    HIGH
  • 08:39Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-12.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.

Biggest hourly move: -18.5pp at 17:00 (to 58¢).

Show top 8 of 20 hourly moves
  • 08:00 · -14.0pp → 60¢
  • 03:00 · -18.5pp → 56¢
  • 21:00 · -11.5pp → 65¢
  • 17:00 · -18.5pp → 58¢
  • 15:00 · -15.0pp → 62¢
  • 14:00 · -13.5pp → 64¢
  • 12:00 · -13.0pp → 62¢
  • 09:00 · +11.5pp → 63¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between AaB Esport and XI Esport in the European Pro League Regular Group A, initially scheduled for April 26 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "AaB Esport" if AaB Esport win Map 1 against XI Esport. This market will resolve to "XI Esport" if XI Esport win Map 1 against AaB Esport. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (97.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.