Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs XI Esport - Map 1 Winner
Probability
51¢
1h
-27.0pp
24h
-12.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.46
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 12pp over 24h
Now 51¢; -27.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 97.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 3h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 12:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 3.3h
- 08:39SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-12.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Biggest hourly move: -18.5pp at 17:00 (to 58¢).
Show top 8 of 20 hourly moves
- 08:00 · -14.0pp → 60¢
- 03:00 · -18.5pp → 56¢
- 21:00 · -11.5pp → 65¢
- 17:00 · -18.5pp → 58¢
- 15:00 · -15.0pp → 62¢
- 14:00 · -13.5pp → 64¢
- 12:00 · -13.0pp → 62¢
- 09:00 · +11.5pp → 63¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between AaB Esport and XI Esport in the European Pro League Regular Group A, initially scheduled for April 26 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "AaB Esport" if AaB Esport win Map 1 against XI Esport. This market will resolve to "XI Esport" if XI Esport win Map 1 against AaB Esport. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (97.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.