Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner
Probability
38¢
1h
-26.0pp
24h
-15.5pp
24h Vol
$4.4K
Liquidity
$8.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-24.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 16pp over 24h
Now 38¢; -26.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $8.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 4h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 22:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 3.6h
- 18:26SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+6.0pp over the last 24h, now 61¢.
Biggest hourly move: -17.5pp at 11:00 (to 51¢).
Show all 42 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:26 · -4.0pp → 61¢
- 17:00 · -8.0pp → 60¢
- 16:00 · -14.0pp → 55¢
- 15:00 · -14.5pp → 54¢
- 13:00 · -12.0pp → 55¢
- 11:00 · -17.5pp → 51¢
- 09:00 · -14.5pp → 53¢
- 08:00 · -12.0pp → 55¢
- 06:00 · -9.0pp → 57¢
- 05:00 · -17.0pp → 50¢
- 03:00 · -7.0pp → 53¢
- 02:00 · -10.0pp → 55¢
- 00:00 · -9.5pp → 56¢
- 22:00 · +5.0pp → 71¢
- 20:00 · -11.0pp → 52¢
- 1d ago · -10.5pp → 55¢
- 1d ago · -14.0pp → 55¢
- 1d ago · -8.5pp → 56¢
- 1d ago · -9.5pp → 57¢
- 1d ago · -8.5pp → 56¢
- 1d ago · -10.0pp → 57¢
- 1d ago · -7.5pp → 59¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 57¢
- 1d ago · -9.0pp → 56¢
- 1d ago · -11.0pp → 54¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 61¢
- 2d ago · -6.0pp → 61¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 67¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 65¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 65¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 69¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 69¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 67¢
- 3d ago · +7.5pp → 68¢
- 3d ago · +6.5pp → 67¢
- 3d ago · +6.5pp → 68¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 67¢
- 3d ago · +4.0pp → 65¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 66¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between FOKUS and KOLESIE in the LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win Map 2 against KOLESIE. This market will resolve to "KOLESIE" if KOLESIE win Map 2 against FOKUS. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensushltv.org
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.